Scientific program
PROVISIONAL PROGRAM
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Roze Zaal UMC/Heymans van den Bergh gebouw, University Campus de Uithof, Utrecht
Monday 7 July 2008
8.00 – 9.00 Registration
9.00 – 9.10 Opening
9.10 – 10.10 Invited speaker
Gerhard Tutz (Ludwig-Maximilian University Munich, DE):
Strategies in Semiparametrically Structured Regression
10.10 – 10.40 Coffee/Tea break
10.40 – 11.40 Contributed Session
Kaatje Bollaerts (BE), Marc Aerts, Christel Faes, Koen Grijspeerdt, Jeroen Dewulf & Koen Mintiens: Dose-Illness Models for Human Salmonellosis Based on Outbreak Data
Robert Gilchrist (UK), Alim Kamara & Janet Rudge: An Application of GAMLSS: An Insurance Type Model for the Health Cost of Cold Housing
Inbal Yahav (US) & Galit Shmueli: Reducing Error by Increasing Focus: Multivariate Monitoring of Biosurveillance Data
11.40 – 12.40 Contributed Session
Christiane Belitz (AT) & Stefan Lang: Complex Additive Penalties for Generalized Structured Additive Regression
Norma Coffey (IRL), Kevin Hayes, Orna Donoghue & Andrew J. Harrison: Estimating Functional Principal Components using the Linear Mixed Effects Model
Iain Currie (UK): Smoothing Overparameterized Regression Models
12.40 – 12.55 Statistical Modelling Society
13.00 – 14.00 Lunch
14.00 – 15.20 Contributed Session
Tatsuhiko Anzai (JP), Hideyasu Shimadzu & Toshiki Endo: Modelling Duration of Necessary and Non-necessary Activities in Daily Life: Fitting Mixture Models to Japanese Time Use Survey Data
Gianluca Baio(UK) & Marta Blangiardo: Bayesian Hierarchical Model for the Prediction of Football Results
Johan J. de Rooi (NL), Paul H. C. Eilers & Laurence E. Frank: Smoothing Zeros and Small Counts in Meta-Analysis of Clinical Trials
Julie Sleep (AUS) & Irene Hudson: Comparison of Self-Organizing Maps, Mixture, K-means and Hybrid Approaches to Risk Classication of Passive Railway Crossings
15.20 – 15.50 Coffee/Tea/Refreshments break
15.50 – 16.50 Contributed Session
Jeanine J Houwing-Duistermaat (NL), Andrea Callegaro, Marian Beekman, Eline P Slagboom & Hans C van Houwelingen: Methods for Aggregation and Linkage Analysis of Human Longevity in Selected Families
M.A. Jonker (NL), S. Bhulai & A.W. van der Vaart: Correlated Gamma Frailty Model for Linkage Analysis on Twin Data with Application to Interval Censored Migraine Data
Renee X. de Menezes (NL), Marten Boetzer, Melle Sieswerda, Claudia Gaspar, Riccardo Fodde & Judith M. Boer: Integrated Statistical Analysis to Identify Associations Between DNA Copy Number and Gene Expression in Microarray Data
16.50 – 17.30 Contributed Session
Ralph C.A. Rippe (NL), Paul H.C. Eilers & Jacqueline J. Meulman: Models for Fluorescence Signals on SNP Arrays
Hae-Won Uh (NL) & Paul H.C. Eilers: Haplotype Frequency Estimation with the Penalized Composite Link Model
18.00 – 20.00 Welcome Reception, Botanical Garden UU
Tuesday 8 July 2008
9.00 – 10.20 Contributed Session
F. Bartolucci (IT) & I. L. Solis-Trapala: A Multidimensional Latent Markov IRT Model
Matthieu J.S. Brinkhuis (NL) & Gunter Maris: Student Monitoring Using Chess Ratings
David J. Hessen (NL): Constant Latent Odds-Ratios Models and Marginal Maximum Likelihood Estimation
Jesper Tijmstra (NL), Dave J. Hessen & Peter G.M. van der Heijden: Testing Manifest Monotonicity and Weak Item Independence for the Constant Latent Odds-Ratios Model
10.20 – 10.50 Coffee/Tea break
10.50 – 11.50 Invited speaker
Jean-Paul Fox (Twente University, NL):
Bayesian Item Response Models for Complex Survey Data
11.50 – 12.50 Contributed Session
M.J.L.F. Cruyff (NL), Ulf Bockenholt & Peter G.M. van der Heijden: Analyzing Randomized Response Data using a Doubly Zero-Inflated Poisson Model
Marianne Hubregtse (NL) & Maarten Cruyff: Explaining Self-Protective "No"-Saying in Randomized Response
Gerhard Neubauer (AT) & Gordana Djuras: A Generalized Poisson Model for Underreporting
12.50– 13.50 Lunch
13.50 – 15.10 Contributed Session
Silvia Cecere (BE) & Emmanuel Lesaffre: On the Bayesian 2-stage Procedure for Parameter Estimation in Copula Models
Anna Espinal (SP) & Pedro Puig: On Parsimonious Higher-order Binary Markov
Chain Models
Bernhard Klingenberg (US): Dose-response Modeling with Bivariate Binary Data Under Model Uncertainty
Elly J.H. Korendijk (NL), Cora J.M. Maas, Mirjam Moerbeek & J. Hox: The Robustness of the Parameters and Standard Error Estimates in Trials with Partially Nested Data. A Simulation Study
15.10 – 15.40 Coffee/Tea/Refreshments break.
15.40 – 17.00 Contributed Session
Chaofeng Kou (UK) & Jianxin Pan: Variable Selection in Joint Modelling of Mean and Covariance Structures for Longitudinal Data
Indrajit Mitra: An Estimator of the Variance of Measurement Error
Helga Wagner (AUS) & Regina Tuchler: Bayesian Estimation of Random Effects Models for Multivariate Responses of Mixed Data
Paul Wilson (IRL): The Dragnet Test: A New Approach to Choosing Between Models
17.00 – 19.00 Poster Session
Marc Aerts (BE),Kaatje Bollaerts, Stefaan Ribbens, Yves Van der Stede, Ides Boone & Koen Mintiens: Semi-parametric Regression to Identify Farms with High Salmonella Infection Burden
Fiona Boland (IRL): Hierarchical Generalised Linear Models Analysis of Bovine Tuberculosis on Milk Data
Paulo Canas Rodrigues (SP) & Ana Teresa Lima: Cd and Cu Migration During Electrodialysis: Biregressional Modelling
Ana Isabel Carita (PT), Pedro Luis Marques & Filomena Vieira: Logistic Regression Model: Continuous Independent Variables and Linearity in the Logit
Paula Rocha Chellini (BR) & Arminda Lucia Siqueira: Simulation-based Results for Bioquivalence Studies Using a 2x2 Crossover Design
S.J. Chua (UK) & A.J. Watkins: The Reliability of Type II Censored Reliability Analyses for Weibull Data
Susana Conde Llinares (IRL) & Gilbert MacKenzie: On Modelling Correlated Binary Co-Morbidities
T. Economou (GR), T.C. Bailey & Z. Kapelan: A Hidden Semi-Markov Model for the Occurrences of Water Pipe Bursts
M.J.Hawkins (IRL), J.Connolly & K.Black: Modelling Changes in Irish Forest Carbon Stocks
Tamara A.M. Hendrick (NL), Maarten J.L.F.Cruyff & Peter G.M. van der Heijden: Self-Protective Parameter Estimation in Models for Randomized Response Data
Irene Hudson (AUS), Alethea Rea & Michelle Dalrymple: Climate Impacts on Sudden Infant Death Syndrome: a GAMLSS Approach
I. Lopez-de-Ullibarri (SP), M. X. Rodrıguez-Alvarez & C. Cadarso-Suarez: ROC.Regression: A new R Software for ROC Regression Analysis
Nirian Martin (SP): New Estimators for Mortality Ratios through Loglinear Modelling with Linear Constraints
Stanislaw Mejza (PL), Joao T. Mexia & Dulce Pereira: A Note on Modelling Environmental Indexes
Iwona Mejza (PL) & Stanislaw Mejza: Model Building for Series of Block Designed Experiments
Vito M. R. Muggeo (IT): Estimation of Linear Errors-in-Variables Models with Error-Free Covariates
Ismini Savvala (NL): Quintile Stratification on Propensity Scores and Standardization for a T-test
Arminda Lucia Siqueira (BR) & Daniela Monteiro Braga: Comparing Crossover Designs in Average Bioequivalence Studies
Nick Sofroniou (IRL), Dominique Hoad & Jochen Einbeck: League Tables for Literacy Survey Data Based on Random Effect Models
Julia Teles (PT) & Luzia Goncalves: Power of Normality Tests Under a Mixture of Gaussian Distributions: A Simulation Study
O. Valero (SP), A. Espinal & P. Puig: Analysis of Labor Spells in Social Security Contributors
Paul Wilson (IRL): Bias Estimation of P-values in Analytic and Simulated Cox Tests for Non-nested Models
Jason Wyse (IRL): A Physiological Application of Bayesian Linear Regression with a Change-Point
Wednesday 9 July 2008
9.00 – 10.20 Contributed Session
Carlo Giovanni Camarda (DE), Paul H. C. Eilers & Jutta Gampe: A Warped Failure Time Model for Human Mortality
Jutta Gampe (DE) & Paul H.C. Eilers: Variation in Mortality: Estimation via a Meta-Analytic Approach
Brian D. Marx (US), Paul H.C. Eilers, Jutta Gampe & Roland Rau: Bilinear Varying-Coefficient Models for Seasonal Time Series and Tables
Patricia A. Filipe (PT) & Carlos A. Braumann: Modelling Individual Animal Growth in Random Environments
10.20 – 10.50 Coffee/Tea break
10.50 – 11.50 Invited Speaker
Jerome Friedman (Stanford University, US):
Fast Sparse Regression and Classification
12.00– 13.00 Lunch
13.10 – 19.00 Excursion to National Park “Hoge Veluwe”
Thursday 10 July 2008
9.00 – 10.20 Contributed Session
David Dejardin (BE), Emmanuel Lesaffre & Geert Verbeke: Joint Modeling of Progression Free Survival and Death
Ardo van den Hout (UK) & Fiona E. Matthews: A Bayesian Three-State Model to Estimate Life Expectancies
Joseph Lynch (IRL) & Gilbert MacKenzie: Piece-Wise Exponential PH models
Gilbert MacKenzie (IRL) & Il Do Ha: Robustness of the Regression Parameter in PH and Non-PH Frailty Survival Models
10.20 – 10.50 Coffee/Tea break
10.50 – 11.50 Invited Speaker
Alan Agresti (University of Florida, US):
Good Confidence Intervals for Discrete Statistical Models
11.50 – 12.40 Contributed Session
SPSS Technical Presentation
12.45– 14.00 Lunch
14.00 – 15.00 Contributed Session
Dana Draghicescu (US): Modelling Space-Time Quantiles of Ground-Level Ozone
C. Ferguson (UK) & A. Bowman: Nonparametric Principal Components Analysis for Ecological Data
Dae-Jin Lee (SP) & Marıa Durban: P-Spline ANOVA-Type Interaction Models for Spatio-Temporal Smoothing
15.00 – 15.30 Coffee/Tea/Refreshments break
15.30 – 16.30 Contributed Session
Sabine K. Schnabel (DE) & Paul H.C. Eilers: Optimal Expectile Smoothing
F. van Eeuwijk (NL), P.H.C. Eilers & M. Malosetti: Modeling Spatial Effects in Field Trials
19.00 – 22.00 Conference Dinner; Academic Building, Senaatszaal
Friday 11 July 2008
9.30 – 10.30 Contributed Session
C. Armero (SP), A. Artacho & A. Lopez-Quilez: Developing an Expert System for Predicting Legionella Outbreaks in Evaporative Installations by Using Bayesian Hierarchical Models
Sabit Cakmak (CA), Vladislav Brion, Mark Golberg, & Rick Burnett: Do Pollution Time-Series Studies Contain Residual Confounding by Personal Risk Factors for Acute Health Events?
Ramona Scheufele (DE) & Ekkehart Dietz: A Simple Method of Estimating Relative Risk from a Prevalence Study and Observations of Disease Duration
10.30 – 11.00 Coffee/Tea break
11.00 – 12.00 Invited Speaker
Theo Stijnen (Leiden University Medical Center, NL):
Random Effects Meta Analysis in the Framework of the General(ized) Linear Mixed
Model
12.00 – 12.40 Contributed Session
Adam R. Brentnall (UK), Martin J. Crowder & David J. Hand: Empirical Random-Effects Models to Predict the Amount Individuals Withdraw at Cash Machines
Dulce Gomes (PT), Carla Nunes & Luisa Canto e Castro: Cold and Heat Waves: Modelling the Mortality in Evora-Portugal
12.45– 13.45 Lunch